• August 2, 2021
 New Poll finds Race Between Ted Cruz, Beto O’Rourke “Too Close to Call”

New Poll finds Race Between Ted Cruz, Beto O’Rourke “Too Close to Call”

WASHINGTON — A new poll released Wednesday suggests the U.S. Senate race between U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz and U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke is far more competitive than many political observers have initially thought.

The poll from Quinnipiac University shows the two men in a dead heat: 47 percent of registered voters in Texas support Cruz, the Republican incumbent, while 43 percent back O’Rourke, an El Paso Democrat.

That number falls within the poll’s 3.6 percent margin of error.

The poll had another ominous warning for the GOP: President Donald Trump was underwater in Texas, with 52 percent of respondents disapproving of him and 43 percent approving of his job performance.

Cruz’s favorability rating showed a polarized response: 46 percent of Texans have a favorable view of the senator while 44 percent have an unfavorable view.

O’Rourke had a positive favorability rating – 30 percent of those who responded viewed him positively while 16 percent had a negative view. This indicates a large swath of Texans do not know who he is and leaves much room for both Republicans and Democrats to define him in the coming months.

Gov. Greg Abbott had far better standing among Texans than either Cruz or Trump. Fifty-four percent of Texans approve of the job he is doing, while 33 percent do not approve.

The pollsters also surveyed Texas voters about both of the Democrats vying to face Abbott in November. Abbott leads former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez 49 percent to 41 percent. Similarly, he leads Democrat Andrew White 48 percent to 41 percent. A May 22 Democratic primary runoff will determine whether Valdez or White is the party’s nominee.

To be sure, no one poll should be taken as gospel on the state of any race. Various factors can produce an outlier result, and the sample included registered voters, which is a less-narrow field of respondents compared to likely voters.

Even so, Quinnipiac is one of the most highly regarded polling outfits in politics, in part due to its use of live interviews over cell phones and landlines.

Read related Tribune coverage:

The Texas Tribune


The Texas Tribune is a nonpartisan, nonprofit media organization that informs Texans — and engages with them – about public policy, politics, government and statewide issues. Facebook (@TexasTribune) Twitter (@TexasTribune) Instagram (@Texas_Tribune)

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  • Only the Racist Texans support Ted Cruz! they are republican blowhards from the party of HATE! the same ones that voted for PEEBRAIN Donald Trump.
    If SATAN was running in place of Ted Cruz against Beto O’Rourke! they would vote for SATAN! these fascist racist republicans are set in their ways.
    Considering that Ted Cruz is not even from the state Texas, Ted Cruz didn’t even know that El Paso is in Texas. Till Beto O’Rourke decided to challenge him for his senate seat! then Ted Cruz started to wonder.Who is BEETOE O’Rourke??? Where the HELL IS EL PASO? is it in Mexico? so he had to google it.
    Ted Cruz don’t even know more than half of the state of Texas! while Beto O’Rourke has already visited over 230 Texas counties. And Beto O’rourke is gaining momentum day by day and the word is out! Beto O’Rourke appeared on HBO Real Time with Bill Maher about three weeks ago. The audience applauded him, He was also mentioned on the Hill, a publication news website and also on Yahoo News.
    Texans from all walks of life are showing up at his town hall meetings in droves,as he draws crowds from everywhere he goes. People want to meet him, Texans need to get to know him! Beto O’Rourke STANDS FOR ALL TEXANS regardless of WE they are.
    Congressman Beto O’Rourke is not like Ted Cruz! Beto O’Rourke is very ‘LIKEABLE’ and very carrying,and besides he is a NATIVE TEXAS BORN HUMAN BEING! From El Paso Texas USA!
    Politicians are supposed to serve their constituents! NOT BE LOYALIST DEFENDERS TO PEEBRAIN Donald Trump.John Cornyn, Greg Abbott Ted Cruz and all other Texas GOP are loyalist to the PeeBrain Donald Trump! WHAT A TOTAL EMBARRASSMENT!

  • I was doing ok till I hit the enter button then went back and read what I wrote. Regardless of ‘WHO WE ARE’! was what I was trying to write! opp’s ‘he”he”he’. guess I got a little to carried away.
    Well you get my drift…..

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